Computational Statistics
Study Course Implementer
23 Kapselu street, 2nd floor, Riga, statistika@rsu.lv, +371 67060897
About Study Course
Objective
Preliminary Knowledge
Learning Outcomes
Knowledge
1.After the course students will know the main topics covered by the course from a theoretical and practical point of view and will be able to: • classify statistical simulation-based computational methods. • identify and explain Monte-Carlo methods and Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods. • discuss resampling methods
Skills
1.• Reproduce random number generation. • Can independently use computation and programming skills as applicable to solving statistical problems. • Perform simulations using R. • Understand and apply resampling methods e.g. bootstrapping. • Capable of independent usage of theory and methods to carry out research activities and to write a paper, make presentation of results obtained based on simulation experiments.
Competences
1.• Evaluate the statistical computation framework for data analysis and when it can be beneficial, compared to the traditional statistical approach. • Perform statistical analyses in practice using simulation-based computational methods. • Determine the role of simulation and resampling, and the usage of these in complex problems. • Assess and interpret the results of simulation experiments.
Assessment
Individual work
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Title
|
% from total grade
|
Grade
|
|---|---|---|
|
1.
Individual work |
-
|
-
|
|
• Individual work with the course material in preparation to all lectures according to plan.
• 4 computer projects – Individual work in group on agreed computer assignments. Students will perform computer experiments and analyse data by applying the methods presented throughout the course.
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Examination
|
Title
|
% from total grade
|
Grade
|
|---|---|---|
|
1.
Examination |
-
|
-
|
|
Assessment on the 10-point scale according to the RSU Educational Order:
• Active participation in lectures, practical’s and exercises as well as computer projects – 20%.
• Handing out and presentation of reports on computer projects – 40%.
• Final written examination – 40%.
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Study Course Theme Plan
-
Lecture
|
Modality
|
Location
|
Contact hours
|
|---|---|---|
|
On site
|
Auditorium
|
2
|
Topics
|
Introduction and reminders: Probability and statistics reminders.
Introduction to random number generation methods.
|
-
Class/Seminar
|
Modality
|
Location
|
Contact hours
|
|---|---|---|
|
On site
|
Computer room
|
3
|
Topics
|
Computer project. R programming and random number generation.
|
-
Lecture
|
Modality
|
Location
|
Contact hours
|
|---|---|---|
|
On site
|
Auditorium
|
2
|
Topics
|
Simulating statistical models: Multivariate normal distributions and Hierarchical models, Markov chains and Poisson processes.
|
-
Class/Seminar
|
Modality
|
Location
|
Contact hours
|
|---|---|---|
|
On site
|
Computer room
|
3
|
Topics
|
Computer project. Simulation of distributions and processes.
|
-
Lecture
|
Modality
|
Location
|
Contact hours
|
|---|---|---|
|
On site
|
Auditorium
|
2
|
Topics
|
Monte Carlo methods: Exploring models via simulation – Monte Carlo estimates –Variance reduction methods – Applications to statistical inference.
|
-
Class/Seminar
|
Modality
|
Location
|
Contact hours
|
|---|---|---|
|
On site
|
Computer room
|
3
|
Topics
|
Computer project. Monte Carlo methods.
|
-
Lecture
|
Modality
|
Location
|
Contact hours
|
|---|---|---|
|
On site
|
Auditorium
|
2
|
Topics
|
Convergence of Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods – Applications to Bayesian inference.
|
-
Lecture
|
Modality
|
Location
|
Contact hours
|
|---|---|---|
|
On site
|
Auditorium
|
2
|
Topics
|
Resampling methods: Approximate Bayesian Computation – Empirical distributions – The bootstrap principle – Bootstrap estimation.
|
-
Class/Seminar
|
Modality
|
Location
|
Contact hours
|
|---|---|---|
|
On site
|
Computer room
|
3
|
Topics
|
Computer project. Resampling methods.
|
-
Lecture
|
Modality
|
Location
|
Contact hours
|
|---|---|---|
|
On site
|
Auditorium
|
2
|
Topics
|
Continuous-time models: Time discretisation – Monte Carlo estimates – Examples and case studies.
|
-
Lecture
|
Modality
|
Location
|
Contact hours
|
|---|---|---|
|
On site
|
Auditorium
|
2
|
Topics
|
Repetition and preparation for the exam.
|
-
Lecture
|
Modality
|
Location
|
Contact hours
|
|---|---|---|
|
On site
|
Auditorium
|
1
|
Topics
|
Introduction and reminders: Probability and statistics reminders.
Introduction to random number generation methods.
|
-
Class/Seminar
|
Modality
|
Location
|
Contact hours
|
|---|---|---|
|
On site
|
Computer room
|
2
|
Topics
|
Computer project. R programming and random number generation.
|
-
Lecture
|
Modality
|
Location
|
Contact hours
|
|---|---|---|
|
On site
|
Auditorium
|
1
|
Topics
|
Simulating statistical models: Multivariate normal distributions and Hierarchical models, Markov chains and Poisson processes.
|
-
Class/Seminar
|
Modality
|
Location
|
Contact hours
|
|---|---|---|
|
On site
|
Computer room
|
2
|
Topics
|
Computer project. Simulation of distributions and processes.
|
-
Lecture
|
Modality
|
Location
|
Contact hours
|
|---|---|---|
|
On site
|
Auditorium
|
1
|
Topics
|
Monte Carlo methods: Exploring models via simulation – Monte Carlo estimates –Variance reduction methods – Applications to statistical inference.
|
-
Class/Seminar
|
Modality
|
Location
|
Contact hours
|
|---|---|---|
|
On site
|
Computer room
|
2
|
Topics
|
Computer project. Monte Carlo methods.
|
-
Lecture
|
Modality
|
Location
|
Contact hours
|
|---|---|---|
|
On site
|
Auditorium
|
1
|
Topics
|
Convergence of Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods – Applications to Bayesian inference.
|
-
Lecture
|
Modality
|
Location
|
Contact hours
|
|---|---|---|
|
On site
|
Auditorium
|
1
|
Topics
|
Resampling methods: Approximate Bayesian Computation – Empirical distributions – The bootstrap principle – Bootstrap estimation.
|
-
Class/Seminar
|
Modality
|
Location
|
Contact hours
|
|---|---|---|
|
On site
|
Computer room
|
2
|
Topics
|
Computer project. Resampling methods.
|
-
Lecture
|
Modality
|
Location
|
Contact hours
|
|---|---|---|
|
On site
|
Auditorium
|
1
|
Topics
|
Continuous-time models: Time discretisation – Monte Carlo estimates – Examples and case studies.
|
-
Lecture
|
Modality
|
Location
|
Contact hours
|
|---|---|---|
|
On site
|
Auditorium
|
1
|
Topics
|
Repetition and preparation for the exam.
|
Bibliography
Required Reading
Gelman, A., Carlin, J.B, Stern, H.S and Rubin, D.B. (2013). Bayesian Data Analysis 3rd ed. Chapman and Hall.
Additional Reading
Voss, J. (2014). An introduction to statistical computing: a simulation-based approach. Wiley. Available from: https://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/rsub-ebooks/detail.action?docID=1355720
Rizzo, M.L. (2008). Statistical computing with R /CRC, Boca Raton.
Ripley, B.D. (2006). Stochastic simulation. Wiley.